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不良习惯与冲动的内生时点

Bad Habits and the Endogenous Timing of Urges
Review of Economic Studies · 2017 · Peter Landry

中文摘要

我提出了一个有害成瘾理论,在该理论中,对不想要的冲动“屈服”(即消费)会在短期内延迟冲动的再次出现,但会增加其长期出现频率。该理论就消费的频率、水平、线索依赖性和时间一致性在习惯化过程中如何演变提供了新的预测,同时独特地刻画了跨时间的需求近期替代。对消费和营销加以限制的新福利意蕴也得到了探讨。

Abstract

I present a theory of harmful addiction in which “giving in” to an unwanted urge (⁠|$i.e.$| consumption) delays the recurrence of urges in the short-run, but increases their long-run frequency. The theory offers new predictions as to how the frequency, levels, cue-dependence, and temporal consistency of consumption evolve during habituation, while uniquely capturing near-term substitution in demand across time. New welfare implications for restrictions on consumption and on marketing are also addressed.
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