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破产改革的经济后果

The Economic Consequences of Bankruptcy Reform
American Economic Review · 2021 · Tal Gross、Raymond Kluender、Feng Liu、Matthew J. Notowidigdo、Jialan Wang

中文摘要

更为慷慨的消费者破产制度为金融风险提供了更强的保险,但也可能提高信贷成本。我们利用2005年《防止破产滥用及消费者保护法》(BAPCPA)研究这一权衡,该法提高了申请破产的成本。我们利用改革效果在不同信用评分之间的差异,识别BAPCPA对借贷成本的影响。我们发现,破产申请风险每降低一个百分点,信用卡利率下降70至90个基点。反之,BAPCPA降低了破产的保险价值,改革后未参保的住院治疗获得破产救济的可能性降低了70%。

Abstract

A more generous consumer bankruptcy system provides greater insurance against financial risks but may also raise the cost of credit. We study this trade-off using the 2005 Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act (BAPCPA), which increased the costs of filing for bankruptcy. We identify the effects of BAPCPA on borrowing costs using variation in the effects of the reform across credit scores. We find that a one-percentage-point reduction in bankruptcy filing risk decreased credit card interest rates by 70–90 basis points. Conversely, BAPCPA reduced the insurance value of bankruptcy, with uninsured hospitalizations 70 percent less likely to obtain bankruptcy relief after the reform. (JEL D18, G15, I13, K35)
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