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银行业竞争对增长与金融稳定的影响:来自国民银行时代的证据

The Effects of Banking Competition on Growth and Financial Stability: Evidence from the National Banking Era
Journal of Political Economy · 2021 · Mark A. Carlson、Sergio Correia、Stephan Luck

中文摘要

银行业竞争如何影响信贷供给与增长?它又如何影响金融稳定?为了识别银行业竞争的因果效应,我们利用了19世纪国民银行时代银行资本要求中的断点。我们表明,在进入壁垒较低的市场中运营的银行提供了更多信贷。由此产生的信贷扩张反过来又与额外的真实经济活动相关联。然而,在进入壁垒较低的市场中,银行也承担了更多风险且更可能违约。因此,我们提供了银行业竞争既能导致增长也能导致金融不稳定的因果证据。

Abstract

How does banking competition affect credit provision and growth? How does it affect financial stability? In order to identify the causal effects of banking competition, we exploit a discontinuity in bank capital requirements during the nineteenth-century National Banking Era. We show that banks operating in markets with lower entry barriers extend more credit. The resulting credit expansion, in turn, is associated with additional real economic activity. However, banks in markets with lower entry barriers also take more risk and are more likely to default. Thus, we provide causal evidence that banking competition can cause both growth and financial instability.
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