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随机税率的某些效应

Certain effects of random taxes
Journal of Public Economics · 2021 · James R. Hines、Michael Keen

中文摘要

本文探讨了税率随机性的影响,识别出在哪些情形下,保持收入中性的税率变动会提高盈利能力、经济活动和资源配置效率。此外,在纳税人异质的情况下,税率变动被证明发挥了一种增进效率的筛选功能,对响应性较低的纳税人施加了更重的预期税负。并且,尽管有效的税率随机性使政府能够降低税收的平均成本,但它必然会在一定预期收入区间内提高税收的边际成本,因而可能降低政府支出的有效水平。

Abstract

This paper explores the implications of tax rate randomness, identifying circumstances in which revenue-neutral rate variability increases profitability, economic activity, and the efficiency of resource allocation. Furthermore, with heterogeneous taxpayers, tax rate variability is shown to perform an efficiency-enhancing screening function, imposing heavier expected tax burdens on less responsive taxpayers. And while efficient tax randomness enables governments to reduce average costs of taxation, it necessarily increases the marginal cost of taxation over some ranges of expected revenue, so may reduce efficient levels of government spending.
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