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养老金激励与劳动供给:来自英国引入普遍老年救助的证据

Pension incentives and labor supply: Evidence from the introduction of universal old-age assistance in the UK
Journal of Public Economics · 2021 · Matthias Nicolas Giesecke、Philipp Jäger

中文摘要

我们研究了1908年《老年养老金法》(OPA)对劳动供给的影响,该法案首次为英国的老年人提供养老金。利用最新公布的覆盖全人口的人口普查数据,我们利用了新设立的基于年龄的资格门槛处的变异。结果表明,当年长劳动者达到70岁的资格年龄时,其劳动参与率出现了相当大且突然的下降,降幅为6.0个百分点(13%)。然而,为了缓解当今人口老龄化的影响,旨在增加老年人劳动供给的养老金改革必须诱导比OPA大得多的行为反应。

Abstract

We study the labor supply implications of the Old-Age Pension Act (OPA) of 1908, which, for the first time, provided pensions to older people in the UK. Using recently released census data covering the entire population, we exploit variation at the newly created age-based eligibility threshold. Our results show a considerable and abrupt decline in labor force participation of 6.0 percentage points (13%) when older workers reach the eligibility age of 70. To mitigate the impact of population aging today, pension reforms aimed at increasing elderly labor supply, however, have to induce much larger behavioral responses than the OPA.
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