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量化损失厌恶下的税收操纵

Quantifying Loss-Averse Tax Manipulation
Review of Economic Studies · 2017 · Alex Rees-Jones

中文摘要

本文提供了证据表明损失厌恶会影响纳税人申报年度纳税申报表时的行为,并提出了一个用于估计这一心理现象之政策影响的框架。在我的理论框架中,纳税人通过避税和逃税活动来操纵向税务机关缴纳的款项。当纳税人在纳税日面临欠税务机关款项的前景时,损失厌恶会产生一种税收减免边际效用更大的感知,从而激励其更积极地追求减税活动。将基于聚束的识别策略应用于美国纳税申报数据,我估计在纳税日面临缴纳税款的纳税人比获得退税的纳税人多减少34美元的纳税义务。

Abstract

This article presents evidence that loss aversion affects taxpayers as they file their annual tax returns, and presents a framework for estimating the policy impact of this psychological phenomenon. In my theoretical framework, taxpayers manipulate the money paid to the tax authority through avoidance and evasion activities. When taxpayers face the prospect of owing the tax authority money on tax day, loss aversion generates the perception of a greater marginal utility of tax reduction and therefore motivates greater pursuit of tax reduction activities. Applying a bunching-based identification strategy to U.S. tax return data, I estimate that taxpayers facing a payment on tax day reduce their tax liability by $34 more than taxpayers owed a refund.
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