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监狱内部:全面禁止新型精神活性物质的影响

Inside Prison: The Effects of a Blanket Ban on New Psychoactive Substances
The Economic Journal · 2026 · Rocco D'Este

中文摘要

监狱是刑事司法体系中的核心机构,然而有限的数据阻碍了对其内部动态的系统分析。我们编制了一套涵盖英格兰和威尔士所有监狱的新型综合数据集,以评估英国全国范围内对新型精神活性物质——为规避监管而设计、易于贩运进入监禁场所的强效合成药物——的禁令所产生的影响。我们首先记录了这些物质在监狱系统中的扩散及其与暴力上升之间的强相关关系。采用双重差分策略,我们发现该禁令使毒品可得性持续下降,但同时也导致囚犯之间的人际暴力与自残在短期内上升。这些发现凸显了在高风险环境中实施供给侧干预所涉及的复杂权衡。此类环境下的有效政策应对应整合需求侧措施——例如成瘾治疗与心理健康服务——以减轻意外伤害并提升机构安全。

Abstract

Abstract Prisons are central institutions in the criminal justice system, yet limited data have impeded a systematic analysis of their internal dynamics. We compile a novel, comprehensive dataset covering all prisons in England and Wales to evaluate the effects of a UK-wide ban on new psychoactive substances—potent synthetic drugs designed to circumvent regulation and readily trafficked into custodial settings. We first document the diffusion of these substances across the prison system and a strong correlation with rising violence. Using a difference-in-differences strategy, we find that the ban produced a sustained reduction in drug availability, but also a short-term increase in both interpersonal violence and self-harm among inmates. These findings underscore the complex trade-offs involved in supply-side interventions within high-risk environments. Effective policy responses in such settings should integrate demand-side measures—such as addiction treatment and mental health services—to mitigate unintended harms and improve institutional safety.
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