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给我一次宽限:哥伦比亚创业者的灵活信贷

Give Me a Pass: Flexible Credit for Entrepreneurs in Colombia
The Economic Journal · 2026 · Lasse Brune、Xavier Giné A、Dean Karlan

中文摘要

尽管小额信贷已惠及数百万人,但近期的随机对照评估发现其对企业平均影响有限。合同刚性,特别是固定且频繁的分期还款,或许能约束道德风险,但也限制了生产性风险承担,从而限制了其影响。我们与一家哥伦比亚贷款机构合作,对新借款人样本进行了实验比较,将标准刚性贷款与包含三次“宽限”的更灵活贷款进行对比,借款人可利用“宽限”推迟还款。灵活贷款导致了投资行为的一些转变,但对收入、利润水平或利润方差没有平均影响,并且导致了更高的违约率。

Abstract

Abstract Although microcredit has reached millions, recent randomised evaluations find limited average business impacts. Contract rigidity, specifically the fixed and frequent instalments, may restrict moral hazard, but limit productive risk-taking, thus limiting the impact. With a Colombian lender, we experimentally compared, for a sample of new borrowers, a standard rigid loan to a more flexible loan that included three ‘passes’ with which borrowers could delay repayments. The flexible loan led to some shifts in investment behaviour, but had no average impact on revenue, profit level, or profit variance, and led to higher default.
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