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小额竞选捐献理论

A Theory of Small Campaign Contributions
The Economic Journal · 2024 · Laurent Bouton、Micaël Castanheira、Allan Drazen

中文摘要

尽管小额捐献者是政治竞选资金的主要来源,大众与学术界的讨论大多集中于大额捐献者。我们提出了一种小额捐献者理论,其核心新颖之处在于:它以小额捐献者与政党筹款策略之间的互动为中心。在均衡中,政党会对具有更高捐献潜力的捐献者(即更富裕且偏好更强烈者)进行微观定向,并在势均力敌的竞选中增加其总筹款努力。政党的策略性筹款放大了收入对捐献的影响,并导致了接近性效应、劣势者效应和跟风效应。随后我们研究了若干常见竞选筹资法的福利效应。我们发现,由于均衡效应,这些工具可能产生与预期目标相反的结果。最后,我们确定了一种税收与补贴方案,该方案能消除收入的影响,同时仍允许捐献者表达其支持的强烈程度。

Abstract

Abstract Popular and academic discussions have mostly concentrated on large donors, even though small donors are a major source of financing for political campaigns. We propose a theory of small donors with a key novelty: it centres on the interactions between small donors and the parties’ fundraising strategy. In equilibrium, parties micro-target donors with a higher contribution potential (that is, richer and with more intense preferences) and increase their total fundraising effort in close races. The parties’ strategic fundraising amplifies the effect of income on contributions, and leads to closeness, underdog and bandwagon effects. We then study the welfare effects of a number of common campaign finance laws. We find that, due to equilibrium effects, those tools may produce outcomes opposite to intended objectives. Finally, we identify a tax-and-subsidy scheme that mutes the effect of income while still allowing donors to voice the intensity of their support.
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