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民主、再分配与不平等:来自英国济贫法的证据

Democracy, Redistribution, and Inequality: Evidence from the English Poor Law
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2026 · Jonathan Chapman

中文摘要

本文通过考察19世纪英国提供贫困救济(即原始的社会保险)的理事会治理结构的变化,检验不平等是否影响了民主化的再分配效应。1894年的一项改革取消了制度特征——累进特许权、财产资格、缺乏秘密投票以及未当选治安法官的参与——这些特征使得土地所有者在1832年大改革法案后能够控制贫困救济支出。实证分析使用1884至1905年济贫法支出的新年度数据集,检验改革前更高的不平等是否放大了民主改革对再分配的影响。结果支持Meltzer–Richard假说:更高的地方收入不平等导致1894年后更高的贫困救济支出。土地精英掌握政治权力的地区支出增幅较小,表明事实上的精英影响力削弱了民主化的效应。这些发现为关注再分配需求的民主化模型提供了实证支持。

Abstract

Abstract This paper tests whether inequality shapes the redistributive impact of democratization by examining changes to the governance of councils providing poor relief—rudimentary social insurance—in 19th-century Britain. An 1894 reform removed institutional features—a graduated franchise, property qualifications, the absence of a secret ballot, and the participation of unelected magistrates—that allowed landowners to control spending on poor relief after the 1832 Great Reform Act. The empirical analysis uses a new annual dataset of poor law spending from 1884 to 1905 to test whether higher pre-reform inequality amplified the effect of democratic reform on redistribution. The results support the Meltzer–Richard hypothesis: higher local income inequality led to higher poor relief spending after 1894. Areas where landed elites held political power saw smaller increases in expenditure, indicating that de facto elite influence muted the effect of democratization. These findings provide empirical support for models of democratization that focus on demands for redistribution.
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