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育儿假、(非)正规儿童看护与儿童长期结果

Parental Leave, (In)formal Childcare, and Long-Term Child Outcomes
Journal of Human Resources · 2020 · Natalia Danzer、Martin Halla、Nicole E. Schneeweis、Martina Zweimüller

中文摘要

我们评估了奥地利将育儿假从儿童一岁生日延长至两岁生日对儿童长期结果的影响。利用延长休假资格上基于生日截止日期的断点,我们发现较长的育儿假平均改善了儿童健康结果,但对儿童的劳动力市场结果没有影响。当考虑反事实的看护模式时,我们发现对于那些因该改革最有可能以母亲看护替代非正规儿童看护的儿童,其所有结果均有显著提升。这凸显了在此类评估中反事实情景的重要性。

Abstract

We evaluate the effect of an Austrian parental leave extension from the child’s first to its second birthday on long-term child outcomes. Exploiting a sharp birthday cutoff-based discontinuity in the eligibility for extended leave, we find that longer parental leave improves on average child health outcomes, but has no effect on the child’s labor market outcomes. When accounting for the counterfactual mode of care, we find significant gains in all outcomes for children for whom the reform most likely induced a replacement of informal childcare with maternal care. This highlights the importance of the counterfactual scenario in such evaluations.
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