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打破“铁饭碗”:预聘—长聘制与中国学术创新的兴起

Breaking the Iron Rice Bowl: Tenure-Track Systems and the Rise of Academic Innovation in China
The Economic Journal · 2025 · Wei Huang、Qingfeng Liu、Jianwei Xing、Shilin Zheng

中文摘要

本文利用中国高校经济学系的人事制度改革,评估预聘—长聘制对科研生产率的影响。基于教师个体层面数据,我们发现,与传统人事制度下聘用的教师相比,预聘—长聘制教师在试用期内每年在高质量期刊上多发表0.135篇(即多100%)论文。研究结果表明,这一生产率提升源于对高潜力研究人员的招募、基于绩效的聘用风险所带来的更大压力,以及包括更高薪资和更多科研经费在内的激励增强。此外,我们发现实施细节的差异会影响改革的实际效果。总体而言,高校预聘—长聘制改革是中国经济学研究生产率提高的重要推动因素。

Abstract

Abstract This study leverages personnel system reforms within economics departments at Chinese universities to assess the impact of the tenure-track system on research productivity. Using individual-level data on faculty members, we show that tenure-track faculty produce 0.135 (or 100%) more publications in high-quality journals annually during their probationary period compared to faculty hired under the traditional personnel system. Our findings suggest that this increase in productivity is driven by the recruitment of high-potential researchers, heightened pressure due to performance-based employment risks and enhanced incentives, including higher salaries and increased research funding. Moreover, we observe that the varied implementation details influence the actual effects of the reform. Overall, the university tenure-track reform has been a significant contributor to the increased productivity in Chinese economic research.
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