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从大规模枪击事件中幸存

Surviving a Mass Shooting
Journal of Public Economics · 2021 · Prashant R. Bharadwaj、Manudeep Bhuller、Katrine Vellesen Løken、Mirjam Wentzel

中文摘要

我们利用2011年7月22日挪威于特岛(Utøya)大规模枪击事件中所有初高中年龄段幸存儿童的数据,研究此类事件如何影响幸存者、其家庭及其同伴。通过双重差分设计将幸存者与匹配的对照组进行比较,我们发现短期内幸存儿童的GPA大幅下降(近0.5个标准差),医疗服务利用增加,且心理健康诊断增多。在中期,幸存者完成的受教育年限更少,劳动参与率更低。幸存者的父母和兄弟姐妹也受到影响,就诊次数和心理健康诊断均大幅增加。然而,对幸存者的学龄同伴的影响似乎有限。尽管该事件影响了整个国家,我们表明,即便在拥有健全社会安全网和全民可及医疗服务的情况下,幸存者及其家庭仍承受了显著的成本。

Abstract

We use data on all middle and high school aged children who survived a mass shooting incident on July 22, 2011 in Utøya, Norway, to understand how such events affect survivors, their families, and their peers. Using a difference-in-differences design to compare survivors to a matched control group, we find that in the short run children who survive have substantially lower GPA (nearly 0.5 SD) and increased utilization of health care services and more mental health diagnoses. In the medium run, survivors have fewer years of schooling completed and lower labor force participation. Parents and siblings of survivors are also impacted, experiencing substantial increases in doctor visits and mental health diagnoses. However, there appear to be limited impacts on school aged peers of survivors. While this event affected the entire country, we show that survivors and their families bear significant costs despite robust social safety nets and universal access to healthcare.
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