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敞开大门:美国的移民合法化与家庭团聚

Opening the Door: Immigrant Legalization and Family Reunification in the United States
Journal of Labor Economics · 2024 · Elizabeth Cascio、Ethan Lewis

中文摘要

向无证移民敞开获得美国公民身份的大门,是否会导致失控的“链式移民”?我们利用1986年《移民改革与控制法案》(IRCA)合法化项目所带来的政策变异来回答这一问题。借助IRCA的实施及各大都市区项目实施强度的差异,我们估计,截至2019年,每名通过IRCA合法化的墨西哥移民总共促成了一名亲属的后续移民并获得合法入境资格。大多数受担保的亲属属于直系亲属,成年人的担保比率与失控的链式移民说法并不相符。利用跨国差异得到的估计结果在实质上相似,表明对大家庭团聚的需求有限。

Abstract

Does opening the door to US citizenship for unauthorized immigrants cause out-of-control “chain migration”? We address this question using variation from the legalization programs of the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986 (IRCA). Exploiting IRCA’s introduction and differences across metropolitan areas in program intensity, we estimate that each IRCA-legalized Mexican was responsible for the subsequent immigration and legal admission of one relative, in total, through 2019. Most sponsored relatives were immediate family, and the adult sponsorship rate is inconsistent with out-of-control chain migration. Estimates using cross-country variation are substantively similar and suggest limited demand for reunification of extended families.
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