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一杯之缺:英格兰饮茶的兴起与水质对死亡率的影响

For Want of a Cup: The Rise of Tea in England and the Impact of Water Quality on Mortality
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2022 · Francisca Antman

中文摘要

本文利用一个自然实验——18世纪英格兰饮茶的兴起——探讨水质对死亡率的影响。饮茶的兴起在无意间增加了沸水的摄入,从而降低了死亡率。方法上采用两种识别策略,将初始水质较差的地区与死亡率更大幅度的下降联系起来:一是饮茶普及之后,二是茶叶进口量更大之后。在加入收入与贸易可及性的控制变量后,结果依然稳健。来自分死因死亡与幼儿死亡率的提示性证据进一步支持了这一假说。

Abstract

Abstract This paper explores the impact of water quality on mortality by exploiting a natural experiment: the rise of tea consumption in eighteenth century England. This resulted in an unintentional increase in consumption of boiled water, thereby reducing mortality rates. The methodology uses two identification strategies tying areas with lower initial water quality to larger declines in mortality rates after tea drinking became widespread and following larger volumes of tea imports. Results are robust to the inclusion of controls for income and access to trade. The hypothesis is further bolstered by suggestive evidence from cause specific deaths and early childhood mortality.
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