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女性生育率与劳动市场对一项健康创新的反应

Women’s Fertility and Labor Market Responses to a Health Innovation
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2023 · Sonia R. Bhalotra、Atheendar S Venkataramani、Selma Walther

中文摘要

我们考察女性在生育、劳动与婚姻市场上对一项健康创新的反应,该创新降低了可治疗病因导致的死亡率,尤其是大幅降低了儿童死亡率。我们发现女性推迟生育,在集约边际与广延边际上的生育率均有所下降,曾经结婚的概率下降,劳动参与率上升,职业地位也有所提升。我们的结果首次提供了证据,表明儿童存活率的改善使女性得以更晚开始生育,并在劳动市场上投入更多。我们提出了一种新的生育理论,该理论纳入了动态选择,并将我们的发现与既有行为模型相协调。

Abstract

Abstract We investigate women’s fertility, labor, and marriage market responses to a health innovation that led to reductions in mortality from treatable causes, and especially large declines in child mortality. We find delayed childbearing, with lower intensive and extensive margin fertility, a decline in the chances of ever having married, increased labor force participation, and an improvement in occupational status. Our results provide the first evidence that improvements in child survival allow women to start fertility later and invest more in the labor market. We present a new theory of fertility that incorporates dynamic choices and reconciles our findings with existing models of behavior.
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