中文摘要
本文研究一项向印度最贫困家庭提供大额资产转移的"大推动"计划的长期效应。在一项对这些家庭进行长达十年跟踪的随机对照试验中, 我们发现该计划对消费 (0.6个标准差)、粮食安全 (0.1个标准差)、收入 (0.3个标准差) 和健康 (0.2个标准差) 均产生正向效应。这些效应在资产转移后的前七年持续增长, 并一直持续到第十年。效应得以持续的一个主要渠道是, 受处理家庭能更好地利用机会实现多样化、转向回报更高的工资性就业, 尤其是通过迁移。 (JEL I32, I38, J22, J31, O12, O18)
Abstract
This paper studies the long-run effects of a “ big-push” program providing a large asset transfer to the poorest Indian households. In a randomized controlled trial that follows these households over ten years, we find positive effects on consumption (0.6 SD), food security (0.1 SD), income (0.3 SD), and health (0.2 SD). These effects grow for the first seven years following the transfer and persist until year ten. One main channel for persistence is that treated households take better advantage of opportunities to diversify into more lucrative wage employment, especially through migration. (JEL I32, I38, J22, J31, O12, O18)