Journal of Economic Literature · 2022 · Brian Beach、Karen B. Clay、Martin Hugo Saavedra
中文摘要
本文回顾了 1918 年大流感的全球健康与经济后果, 特别关注因 COVID-19 而重新引发研究兴趣的议题。我们首先概述关键的背景与流行病学细节, 以及研究者可获得的数据。随后考察其对死亡率、生育率和经济的短期与中期影响。非药物干预在塑造这些结果中所起的作用贯穿全文加以讨论。接着我们考察更长期持久的健康后果及其对人力资本积累和社会经济地位的影响。在全文中, 我们着重指出未来研究的重要方向。(JEL E24, E32, I12, I15, J13, J24, N30)
Abstract
This article reviews the global health and economic consequences of the 1918 influenza pandemic, with a particular focus on topics that have seen a renewed interest because of COVID-19. We begin by providing an overview of key contextual and epidemiological details as well as the data that are available to researchers. We then examine the effects on mortality, fertility, and the economy in the short and medium run. The role of non-pharmaceutical interventions in shaping those outcomes is discussed throughout. We then examine longer-lasting health consequences and their impact on human capital accumulation and socioeconomic status. Throughout the paper we highlight important areas for future work. (JEL E24, E32, I12, I15, J13, J24, N30)