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出生时现金转移减少父亲和子女的犯罪活动

Cash transfer at birth reduces criminal activity of fathers and children
Journal of Public Economics · 2026 · [{"name": "Sakshi Bhardwaj", "affiliation": ["University of Wisconsin–Whitewater"]}]

中文摘要

本文考察低收入家庭在生育后立即获得的额外收入对刑事司法涉入的影响。采用断点回归设计,我利用了一项政策:允许年末前出生的子女在该纳税年度被申报为受抚养人,从而在初为人父母的第一年提供额外现金。基于关联的行政数据,我发现这笔额外收入立即降低了初为人父者面临刑事指控和监禁的可能性,尤其是与收入相关的犯罪。从长期来看,它还减少了其子女的少年司法涉入。

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of additional income provided to low-income families immediately after childbirth on criminal justice involvement. Using a regression discontinuity design, I exploit a policy that allows children born before year-end to be claimed as dependents for that tax year, thereby providing additional cash during the first year of parenthood. Using linked administrative data, I find that this extra income immediately reduces the likelihood of criminal charges and incarceration among first-time fathers, particularly for income-related offenses. In the long run, it also reduces juvenile justice involvement among their children.
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