State Right to Work Laws and Economic Dynamism in U.S. Counties, 1946 to 2019
American Sociological Review · 2026 · Alec P. Rhodes、Tom VanHeuvelen
中文摘要
州层面工作权(RTW)法究竟释放了经济活力,即地方经济在不断变化的环境中作出响应、蓬勃发展并实现增长的能力,还是相反?尽管RTW法限制工会保障协议的具体目标似乎仅狭窄地针对工会化企业,但支持者与反对者同样认为,RTW法会对劳动力市场产生广泛影响。工会垄断理论认为,工会会提高劳动力成本,并以扭曲和抑制企业投资与增长的方式强化工人对劳动过程的控制,因此RTW促进了经济活力。制度主义理论则反驳称,工会提高了劳动生产率并构建了更强的本地消费基础,因此RTW抑制了经济活力。我们利用75年的县商业模式(County Business Patterns)数据,以及县边界配对固定效应回归模型来处理不可观测的异质性,对上述分歧性假说进行了新颖的检验。我们未能发现一致的证据表明,相对于地理上邻近且与其共享边界的非RTW州所属县,RTW的通过带来了就业或工作场所机构集中度的实质性变化。我们提出了一种替代性的竞争性劳动政策缓解视角,强调政策制定者如何回应邻州政策,以帮助解释这一零结果。与我们的论点一致,我们发现非RTW州在这一时期使税收与激励政策对雇主更具吸引力,且税收与激励政策与地方经济活力具有实质性关联。这凸显了税收激励作为一种替代性政策杠杆,被非RTW州用于缓解RTW州的竞争优势。
Abstract
Do state Right to Work (RTW) laws unleash economic dynamism, or the ability for local economies to respond, thrive, and grow in changing conditions? Although the specific goals of RTW laws to limit union security agreements appear to narrowly target unionized firms, proponents and opponents alike argue that RTW laws have broad labor market consequences. Union monopoly theories suggest that unions increase labor costs and exert greater worker control over the labor process in ways that distort and dampen firm investment and growth, and hence that RTW promotes economic dynamism. Institutionalist theories counter that unions increase labor productivity and build a stronger local consumer base, and hence that RTW inhibits economic dynamism. We provide a novel test of these divergent hypotheses using 75 years of County Business Patterns data and county-border-pair fixed-effects regression models to address unobserved heterogeneity. We fail to find consistent evidence that RTW passage is associated with meaningful changes in employment or workplace establishment concentration relative to geographically proximate counties in non-RTW states that share a common border. We develop an alternative competitive labor policy mitigation perspective that highlights how policymakers respond to policies in neighboring states to help explain this null result. Consistent with our arguments, we find that non-RTW states made tax and incentive policy more attractive for employers during this period, and that tax and incentive policies have a meaningful association with local economic dynamism. This highlights tax incentives as an alternative policy lever that non-RTW states used to mitigate the competitive advantages of RTW states.