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向国家申诉:中国反腐打击行动对劳工抗争的政治经济影响

Raising grievances to the state: The political economic effects of anti-corruption crackdowns on labor activism in China
Journal of Development Economics · 2026 · Huiyi Chen

中文摘要

本文以中国的反腐运动作为一项自然实验,研究政府行动如何影响工人对罢工预期回报的判断。基于将2011—2020年腐败巡视与罢工事件相联系的城市层面数据集,本文发现,一座城市首次经历高规格巡视后,罢工事件急剧增加,这一增长主要由私营企业拖欠工资所驱动,并集中于建筑业和制造业。罢工还通过网络渠道扩散,较晚受到巡视的城市及邻近城市也会对其他地区的巡视作出反应。证据表明,巡视削弱了企业与政府之间的联系,并转移了政府的注意力,从而提高了工人的预期回报,并揭示出工人中原已存在的不满。

Abstract

This paper studies how government actions shape workers’ expected returns to striking by exploiting China’s anti-corruption campaign as a natural experiment. Using a city-level dataset linking corruption inspections to strikes from 2011 to 2020, I show that strike incidents rise sharply after a city’s first high-profile inspection, driven largely by wage arrears from private firms and concentrated in the construction and manufacturing sectors. Strikes also spread through network channels, with later-treated and neighboring cities responding to inspections elsewhere. Evidence indicates that inspections weakened firm–government ties and shifted government attention, raising workers’ expected returns and revealing pre-existing grievances among workers.
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