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交通网络、技术采用与结构转型

Transportation networks, technology adoption, and structural transformation
Journal of International Economics · 2026 · Terry Cheung、Han Yang

中文摘要

本文考察交通如何影响农业技术采用与结构转型。实证结果表明,更完善的交通网络降低了非劳动投入品价格,推动了劳动密集度更低的技术,进而提升生产率并支撑结构转型。模型显示,仅交通改善一项就使印度农业就业份额下降3.3个百分点,占所观察到的降幅的24%。模型还凸显了机制互补性:降低固定采用成本会放大非劳动成本下降的效应,进一步促进现代技术的采用。反事实分析表明,消除农民选择技术类型的能力会使结构转型减少67%。

Abstract

We examine how transportation influences agricultural technology adoption and structural transformation. Our empirical findings show that better transportation network reducing non-labor input prices, promoting less labor-intensive technologies, which in turn enhancing productivity and supporting structural transformation. Our model reveals that improved transportation alone accounts for 3.3 percentage points reduction in India's agricultural employment share, representing 24% of the observed decline. The model also highlights mechanism complementarity that lowering fixed adoption costs amplifies the effect of reduced non-labor costs, further promotes modern technology adoption. The counterfactual analysis indicates that eliminating farmers' ability to select technology types decreases structural transformation by 67%.
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