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政治意识形态与美国电动汽车的采用

Political Ideology and US Electric Vehicle Adoption
Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists · 2026 · Lucas W. Davis、Jing Li、Katalin Springel

中文摘要

电动汽车(EV)作为气候变化解决方案的前景,取决于其能否跨越政治界线得到广泛采用。本研究使用县级数据表明,从2012年到2023年,美国所有新电动汽车注册量中约有一半流向了民主党支持率最高的10%的县,约三分之一流向了支持率最高的5%的县。这一相关性在很大程度上随时间保持稳定,并且在控制家庭收入、汽油价格及其他可观测变量后依然存在。电动卡车在电动汽车市场中所占份额较小,但其相关性低于其他类型的电动汽车。我们还开展了一项调查,发现民主党人与共和党人在回答有关电动汽车的问题时能力差异甚微。

Abstract

The prospect for electric vehicles (EVs) as a climate change solution hinges on their widespread adoption across political lines. This study uses county-level data to show that from 2012 to 2023 about half of all new EV registrations in the United States went to the 10% most Democratic counties, and about one-third went to the top 5%. This correlation is largely stable over time and remains after controlling for household income, gasoline prices, and other observables. EV trucks are a small share of the EV market but show a lower correlation than other EV types. We also conducted a survey, finding little difference in the ability of Democrats and Republicans to answer questions about EVs.
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