← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

年轻的地方政治人物与巴西亚马逊地区的森林砍伐

Young Local Politicians and Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon
Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists · 2026 · Ricardo Dahis、Ivan de las Heras、Santiago Saavedra

中文摘要

虽然森林砍伐可能带来短期经济收益,但它对气候变化、生物多样性和水系具有持久影响。政治领导人的年龄是这些权衡如何被管理的关键决定因素。我们研究巴西胜负接近的选举,并表明当一位年轻政治人物掌权时,森林砍伐更少(p 值 .000)、温室气体排放更低(p 值 .061),但当地收入更高(p 值 .023)。结果部分可由年轻市长以更年轻的公务员替换官僚体系来解释(p 值 .043)。

Abstract

While deforestation may yield short-term economic gains, it has lasting impacts on climate change, biodiversity, and water systems. The age of political leaders is a key determinant of how these trade-offs are managed. We study closely contested elections in Brazil and show that when a young politician is in power there is less deforestation (p-value .000), lower greenhouse gas emissions (p-value .061), but higher local income (p-value .023). Results are partly explained by young mayors turning over the bureaucracy with younger public servants (p-value .043).
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →