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长期护理补贴会降低医疗利用与医疗支出吗?来自韩国长期护理保险的证据

Does Long‐Term Care Subsidy Decrease Healthcare Utilization and Expenditures? Evidence From the Long‐Term Care Insurance in Korea
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management · 2026 · GaYoung Park、Youjin Hahn

中文摘要

我们考察了政府对长期护理(LTC)的补贴对韩国医疗利用与健康结果的影响,韩国是人口老龄化速度最快的国家之一。使用断点回归设计,我们的意向处理估计表明,获得补贴性长期护理服务的资格使自付医疗支出和处方药支出分别较基线均值降低约20%和16%,并使住院概率降低约12%。这些医疗利用与医疗支出的下降并未伴随不良健康结果。特别是,获得资格降低了因骨折而住院的可能性,这可能是上述结果的一个可能渠道。总体而言,我们的发现表明,长期护理补贴可以在不损害老年人健康结果的情况下部分抵消医疗支出。

Abstract

ABSTRACT We examine the effect of government subsidies for long‐term care (LTC) on healthcare utilization and health outcomes in Korea, which exhibits one of the fastest rates of population aging. Using a regression discontinuity design, our intent‐to‐treat estimates indicate that eligibility for subsidized LTC services reduces out‐of‐pocket medical and prescription drug spending by about 20% and 16% of the baseline mean, respectively, and lowers the likelihood of inpatient hospital admission by about 12%. These reductions in healthcare utilization and expenditures are not associated with adverse health outcomes. In particular, eligibility reduces the likelihood of hospital admission due to fractures, which could be a possible channel for these results. Overall, our findings suggest that LTC subsidies can partially offset medical expenditures without negatively affecting the health outcomes of older adults.
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