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小农户获得数字信贷:来自加纳的实验证据

Access to digital credit for smallholder farmers: Experimental evidence from Ghana
Journal of Development Economics · 2026 · Dean Karlan、Monica Lambon-Quayefio、Utsav Manjeer、Christopher Udry

中文摘要

农业数字金融是一项新兴技术,可能有助于提高农村金融包容性。在对加纳南部一项面向农户的数字贷款产品开展的实验评估中,信贷增加了农业投资,但对后续结果的平均影响中仅有少数具有统计显著性。然而,物流方面的困难导致对处理分配的依从并不完全:部分贷款及时发放、可用于农业投资,另一些贷款则较晚到账。我们谨慎地利用这一计划外的非实验性实施异质性,得出结论认为,聚焦农业的数字信贷平台具有解决农村金融市场长期性缺陷的潜力,但发放时机似乎至关重要,值得进一步研究。

Abstract

Digital finance in agriculture is a nascent technology which could help improve rural financial inclusion. In an experimental evaluation of a digital lending product for farmers in Southern Ghana, credit increases farm investments but has few statistically significant average effects on downstream outcomes. However, logistical challenges generated imperfect compliance with the treatment assignment, with some loans delivered in a timely fashion for agricultural investments and others coming later. We cautiously exploit this unplanned non-experimental implementation heterogeneity and conclude that agriculturally-focused digital credit platforms have potential to tackle persistent rural financial market imperfections, but the timing seems critical and deserves further study.
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