Impacts of Contemporaneous Air Pollution Exposure on Cognitive Performance in Kenya
Journal of Health Economics · 2026 · Xuqian Ma、Michelle Layvant、Edward A. Miguel、Eric Ochieng、Ajay Pillarisetti、Michael Walker
中文摘要
我们利用在肯尼亚进行认知测试期间收集的新颖暴露数据,估计了细颗粒物(PM 2.5)暴露的短期认知效应。与大多数依赖卫星数据或固定监测站数据的既有研究不同,我们使用部署在认知测试现场的便携式监测仪测量高度本地化的环境污染物浓度,并将这些读数直接与统一认知评估方案(HCAP)得分相链接。测试期间较高的 PM 2.5 暴露与较低的认知表现相关,尤其是在执行功能、记忆和视空间任务方面。分箱暴露模型显示出一致的单调模式,在较高暴露水平上估计值更为负向。值得注意的是,效应在受教育程度较高的个体中显著更大,这可能源于任务要求更高,或长期暴露较低从而限制了生理适应。鉴于即使在低于肯尼亚年均监管阈值 35 μg/m³ 的 PM 2.5 水平下认知损害也已显现,研究结果表明,短期暴露可能带来当前监管标准未能缓解的被低估的人力资本成本。研究结果凸显了在资源匮乏环境中减少空气污染暴露的干预措施可能带来的认知与经济回报。
Abstract
We estimate the short-term cognitive effects of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) exposure using novel exposure data collected during cognitive testing in Kenya. Unlike most existing studies that rely on satellite-based or fixed monitoring station data, we measure highly localized ambient pollution using portable monitors deployed at cognitive testing sites and link these readings directly to Harmonized Cognitive Assessment Protocol (HCAP) scores. Higher PM 2.5 exposure during testing is associated with lower cognitive performance, particularly in executive function, memory, and visuospatial tasks. Binned exposure models suggest a monotonic pattern, with more negative estimates at higher exposure levels. Notably, effects are significantly larger among more educated individuals, possibly due to greater task demands or lower chronic exposure that limits physiological adaptation. Given that cognitive impairment is evident even at PM 2.5 levels below Kenya’s mean annual regulatory threshold of 35 μ g /m 3 , the findings suggest that short-term exposure may impose underappreciated human capital costs that current regulatory standards fail to mitigate. The results highlight the potential cognitive and economic returns to interventions that reduce air pollution exposures in low-resource settings.