← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

减少与俄罗斯的贸易:制裁与企业自愿暂停经营活动

Reducing trade with Russia: Sanctions vs. firms’ voluntary suspension of activities
Journal of International Economics · 2026 · Juan José de Lucio、Raúl Mínguez、Asier Minondo、Francisco Requena Silvente

中文摘要

2022年2月对乌克兰的入侵引发了对俄罗斯规模空前的大规模制裁。与此同时,许多跨国企业自愿决定暂停其在俄罗斯的业务活动。本文利用西班牙企业层面数据,量化了贸易制裁与企业自愿暂停业务决策对俄罗斯进出口的影响。我们发现,企业自愿暂停在俄业务的决策对出口和进口下降的贡献分别为20%和24%,而制裁的贡献则分别为10%和34%。结果表明,制裁与企业自愿暂停业务活动相结合所导致的对俄贸易降幅,远大于仅实施制裁所能达到的水平。

Abstract

The invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 led to large and unprecedented sanctions against Russia. In parallel, many multinational firms voluntarily decided to suspend their activities in Russia. Using Spanish firm-level data, this paper quantifies the impact of trade sanctions and firms’ voluntary decisions to suspend activities on exports and imports with Russia. We find that firms’ voluntary decisions to suspend activities in Russia contributed to the reduction in exports and imports by 20% and 24%, respectively, while sanctions contributed by 10% and 34%, respectively. The results show that the combination of sanctions and firms’ voluntary suspension of activities caused a much greater reduction in trade with Russia than sanctions alone would have achieved.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →