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熟悉的陌生人:侨民网络在外商投资与长期发展中的作用

Familiar strangers: The role of diaspora networks in foreign investment and long-run development
Journal of International Economics · 2026 · Fanghao Chen、Ruichi Xiong、XIAOBO ZHANG

中文摘要

本文表明,侨民网络在将早期外商投资引向制度较弱的中国地区、并催化长期工业发展方面发挥了关键作用。利用涵盖中国全部外资企业的行政数据集,我们发现,1979年后外资进入的激增由法定代表人为海外华侨的侨民企业主导;大规模的非侨民资本流入主要发生在20世纪90年代末。借助1981—1996年对外开放政策在地级市层面的分批推开,并以姓氏地理分布的变异作为识别策略,我们发现侨民企业优先进入最有可能是其法定代表人祖籍所在地的地级市。这一模式在契约密集型行业中更为突出,并在中国加入WTO前后消失。早期侨民企业的进入具有可观的长期乘数效应,既吸引了后来的非侨民外商直接投资,也促进了产业集群与工业园区的发展。

Abstract

This paper shows that diaspora networks played a pivotal role in directing early foreign investment to Chinese locations with weaker institutions and in catalyzing long-run industrial development. Using an administrative dataset of all foreign firms in China, we document that the post-1979 surge in foreign entry was led by diaspora firms whose legal representatives were overseas Chinese; large non-diaspora inflows arrived mainly in the late 1990s. Leveraging the staggered rolling-out of opening-up policies across prefectures during 1981-96 and employing the variation in the geographic distribution of surnames as an identification strategy, we find that diaspora firms preferentially entered prefectures likely to be their legal representatives’ ancestral origins. This pattern is stronger in contract-intensive industries and disappears around China’s WTO accession. Early diaspora entry had sizable long-run multiplier effects, attracting later non-diaspora FDI and fostering the development of industrial clusters and parks.
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