← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

核电站的局部劳动力市场效应

Local labor market effects of nuclear power plants
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management · 2026 · Duha Tore Altindag、Reem El Cheikh Taha、Jennifer U. Jones、Alan Seals

中文摘要

本文采用双重差分策略,估计了美国商业核电站(NPPs)的局部经济效应。我们的控制组由计划建设核电站但最终取消建设的地点构成。我们发现,核电站建设显著提高了当地就业和工资,且效应集中在建筑和公共事业部门。然而,一旦建设结束、核电站投入运营,这些收益便随之消散,因为运营所需的就业岗位极少。我们未发现对邻近城镇存在显著溢出效应,商业运营也未对更广泛的劳动力市场结果产生实质性影响。此外,我们发现核电站建设使地方政府收入和支出增加约 10% 至 15%,资金主要用于政府行政和公共工程。这些结果表明,核电站虽能带来短期经济刺激,但其长期劳动力市场和财政收益可能有限。

Abstract

Abstract Using a differences‐in‐differences strategy, we estimate the local economic effects of U.S. commercial nuclear power plants (NPPs). Our control group consists of locations where plant construction was planned but ultimately canceled. We find that NPP construction significantly increases local employment and wages, with effects concentrated in the construction and public utilities sectors. However, these gains dissipate once construction concludes and the plant becomes operational, as operational employment requirements are minimal. We find no significant spillover effects on neighboring towns, and commercial operations do not meaningfully impact broader labor market outcomes. Additionally, we find that NPP construction increases local government revenues and expenditures by approximately 10% to 15%, with funds primarily allocated to government administration and public works. These results suggest that while NPPs provide short‐term economic stimulus, their long‐term labor market and fiscal benefits may be limited.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →