← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

在线外卖与体重:来自中国的准实验证据

Online food delivery and body weight: Quasi-experimental evidence from China
Journal of Health Economics · 2026 · Guanfu Fang、Wei Li、Feng Liu

中文摘要

本文估计在线外卖平台对中国居民体重的因果效应。我们利用饿了么于2010至2020年间在中国各城市交错(分批)进入这一特征,发现平台进入使城市年轻成年人的BMI分布整体右移:它提高了身体质量指数、降低了体重过轻的发生率,并提高了超重的可能性。该效应对城市年长成年人可忽略不计,这与其平台使用率较低相一致。机制分析指向饮食偏好向高能量密度食物转变、备餐时间减少以及餐馆进入增加。我们的发现凸显了在快速城市化的发展中国家中数字外卖平台所带来的健康权衡:热量可及性的改善可能与对低质量、高能量密度食物暴露的增加并存。

Abstract

This paper estimates the causal effect of online food delivery platforms on body weight in China. Exploiting the staggered rollout of Eleme across Chinese cities between 2010 and 2020, we find that platform entry shifts the BMI distribution rightward among urban young adults: it increases body mass index, lowers underweight prevalence, and raises the likelihood of being overweight. Effects are negligible among urban older adults, consistent with lower platform adoption in this group. Mechanism analysis points to shifts in dietary preferences toward energy-dense foods, reduced meal preparation time, and increased restaurant entry. Our findings highlight the health trade-offs associated with digital food platforms in rapidly urbanizing developing countries, where improved caloric access may coexist with greater exposure to lower-quality, energy-dense foods.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →