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外国技术与非正规就业:来自墨西哥的证据

Foreign technology and informal employment: Evidence from Mexico
Journal of Development Economics · 2026 · Maria Bas、Pamela Bombarda

中文摘要

我们研究进口中间投入品所蕴含的外国技术的可获得性如何影响墨西哥的就业正规化。利用家庭微观数据,我们考察了1993年至2001年间墨西哥制造业各行业对美国商品(包括最终产品和中间产品)关税的大幅下调。我们发现,在投入品关税平均下降12个百分点的制造业行业中工作的个体,获得正规就业的可能性高出4个百分点。这一效应在高技能劳动者中尤为明显,与投入品—技能互补机制相一致。相比之下,较低的产出品关税通过加剧进口竞争,使非正规就业的概率提高了1.5个百分点以上。这些发现增进了我们对贸易自由化所促进的先进技术可获得性在推动正规就业方面所发挥作用的理解。

Abstract

We investigate how access to foreign technology embodied in imported inputs affects formalization in Mexico. Using household microdata, we exploit the significant reduction in Mexico’s tariffs on U.S. goods (both final and intermediate) across manufacturing industries between 1993 and 2001. We find that individuals working in manufacturing industries experiencing an average reduction in input tariffs (12 percentage points) are 4 percentage points more likely to be formally employed. The effect is particularly pronounced among high-skilled workers, consistent with an input-skill complementarity mechanism. In contrast, lower output tariffs, by inducing tougher import competition, increased the probability of informal employment by more than 1.5 percentage points. These findings enhance our understanding of the role that access to advanced technology, facilitated by trade liberalization, plays in promoting formal employment.
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