The effect of alimony on married women's labor supply and fertility: Evidence from state‐level reforms
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management · 2024 · Daniel Fernández‐Kranz、Jennifer Roff
中文摘要
降低离婚后配偶赡养费的改革,通常被认为会削弱赡养费接受者的议价能力,以及其参与传统家庭专业化模式的激励。我们使用美国时间利用调查,并利用美国若干州近期实施的一系列改革——这些改革削弱了符合条件配偶的权利——发现对改革感到意外的妻子通过增加劳动供给作出反应,但调整机制因教育群体而异。大学学历妻子的劳动供给增加以牺牲家务和育儿时间为代价,而学历低于大学本科的妻子则牺牲了个人护理和休闲时间。对男性的影响总体上较小且在统计上不显著。我们还发现改革后新生儿出生率下降,且该效应在大学学历女性中更为明显,这表明时间利用上的部分差异可能归因于不同教育水平下偏好和子女成本的差异。由于子女是婚姻中的公共品,我们的结果意味着婚姻专属投资的减少。估计效应在各种敏感性检验下均稳健,且在收入差距较大、因而更易受赡养费法律变化影响的夫妻中更大。
Abstract
Abstract Reforms that reduce spousal support after divorce are generally thought to reduce the bargaining power of alimony recipients as well as their incentives to participate in the traditional model of household specialization. Using the U.S. Time Use Survey and exploiting a series of recent reforms in several U.S. states that reduced the rights of eligible spouses, we find that wives surprised by the reforms reacted by increasing their labor supply, but the adjustment mechanism varied by educational group. While college educated wives' labor supply increased at the expense of time spent on housework and childcare, wives with less than a college degree sacrificed personal care and leisure time. Effects for men are generally smaller and not statistically significant. We also find a reduction in the rate of new births following the reforms, with the effect being much more pronounced in the case of women with a university education, suggesting that part of the difference in time use may be attributable to differences in preferences and the cost of children by educational levels. Since children are a marital public good, our results imply a decrease in marriage‐specific investment. The estimated effects are robust to various sensitivity tests and are greater in couples with a high‐income differential and therefore more exposed to changes in alimony laws.