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肥胖、久坐行为与生活方式:一个关于饮食与体力活动的生命周期模型

Obesity, sedentary behavior and lifestyle: A lifecycle model of eating and physical activity
Journal of Health Economics · 2026 · Davide Dragone、Gustav Feichtinger、Dieter Grass、Richard F. Hartl、Peter M. Kort、Andrea Seidl

中文摘要

我们提出一个理论模型,研究个体在热量摄入与体力活动方面的生活方式选择,这些选择取决于个人体质与体重。该模型建立在理性饮食文献的基础之上,能够产生与经验证据相符的多种行为。特别地,我们表明,经历一段时期的久坐生活方式可以是一种理性的、实现效用最大化的决策——这一发现未见于现有文献,但在经验上却普遍存在。此外,我们证明了多重均衡与多种无差异的生活方式可能存在。前者为政策干预提供了依据,以帮助个体摆脱自我强化但不健康的均衡;后者则为补偿早期不健康行为的补救计划提供了理论基础。

Abstract

We propose a theoretical model to study individual lifestyle choices related to calorie intake and physical activity, depending on personal fitness and body weight. The model builds on the rational eating literature and can generate a variety of behaviors that are consistent with the empirical evidence. In particular, we show that engaging in periods of a sedentary lifestyle can be a rational, utility-maximizing decision-a finding that is not present in the existing literature but is empirically widespread. Additionally, we show the possible existence of multiple equilibria and multiple indifferent lifestyles. The former justifies policy interventions to help individuals exit a self-reinforcing, but unhealthy equilibrium; the latter provides a theoretical basis for remediation plans that compensate for earlier unhealthy behaviors.
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