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贸易自由化、工资刚性与异质性企业下的劳动力市场动态

Trade liberalization, wage rigidity, and labor market dynamics with heterogeneous firms
Journal of International Economics · 2026 · Ekaterina Gurkova、Elhanan Helpman、Oleg Itskhoki

中文摘要

贸易自由化引发部门内大幅劳动力再配置,这一模式被异质性企业贸易模型所捕捉。我们研究企业和工人在劳动市场摩擦下对贸易成本变化的过渡动态。反应因企业生产率而异:高生产率出口企业扩大就业,而较低生产率企业退出、退出前缩减规模,或逐渐收缩。因此,初始工资相似的岗位在事后出现差异,高生产率企业提供更高工资和更大稳定性。通过对模型进行校准,我们量化调整渠道,并表明消费者价格下降带来的收益超过工资削减、岗位破坏和资本损失带来的损失,尽管这些损失集中在部分工人群体中。向下工资刚性可以改善福利,在工人失业与收入损失之间形成权衡。

Abstract

Trade liberalization triggers substantial within-sector labor reallocation, a pattern captured by heterogeneous-firm trade models. We study transition dynamics of firms and workers in response to changes in trade costs, incorporating labor market frictions. Responses vary by firm productivity: high-productivity exporters expand employment, while lower-productivity firms exit, downsize before exit, or gradually shrink. As a result, jobs with similar initial wages differ ex post, with high-productivity firms offering higher wages and greater stability. Calibrating the model, we quantify adjustment channels and show that gains from lower consumer prices outweigh losses from wage cuts, job destruction, and capital losses, although these losses are concentrated among a subset of workers. Downward wage rigidity can improve welfare, creating a trade-off between worker displacement and income loss.
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