枪支偏好
Preferences for Firearms
AER: Insights · 2025 · [{"name": "Sarah Moshary", "affiliation": ["University of California, Berkeley"]}, {"name": "Bradley Shapiro", "affiliation": ["University of Chicago"]}, {"name": "Sara Drango", "affiliation": ["University of Chicago"]}]
中文摘要
本文为制定有效的枪支政策提供了一项关键投入：理解消费者对枪支的需求。我们运用陈述选择实验，估计个体层面的价格敏感性以及不同枪支类型之间的替代模式。我们发现，潜在枪支购买者总体上对价格不敏感，但首次购买者对价格最为敏感。我们还估计出存在相当程度的替代——从半自动长枪（有时被称为“攻击性武器”）转向手枪，而手枪每支枪所关联的犯罪更多。（JEL D12, D72, K23, K42, L51, L64, M31）
Abstract
This paper provides a critical input into crafting effective firearms policy: an understanding of consumer demand for guns. We estimate individual-level price sensitivity and substitution patterns across gun types using stated-choice experiments. We find that potential firearm buyers are price insensitive overall but that first-time buyers are the most price sensitive. We also estimate considerable substitution from semiautomatic long guns (sometimes called “assault weapons”) to handguns, which are associated with more crimes per gun. (JEL D12, D72, K23, K42, L51, L64, M31)