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结果失稳

Outcome destabilization
Games and Economic Behavior · 2026 · Francesc Dilmé

中文摘要

在扩展式博弈中,我们说一列颤抖使一个结果失稳,如果不存在相应的支付扰动序列和纳什结果序列收敛到该结果。我们利用均衡失稳来刻画序贯均衡和序贯稳定结果,并将信号博弈中的标准选择准则重新解释为通过识别失稳颤抖序列来排除不合理均衡的手段。我们证明,最大失稳颤抖序列(使除一个结果外的所有结果失稳)的存在,显著简化了对有限重复博弈等复杂博弈中策略稳定行为的研究。

Abstract

In a game in extensive form, we say that a sequence of trembles destabilizes an outcome if there is no corresponding sequence of payoff perturbations and Nash outcomes converging to the outcome. We use equilibrium destabilization to characterize sequential equilibria and sequentially stable outcomes, and to reinterpret standard selection criteria in signaling games as a means of ruling out implausible equilibria by identifying destabilizing tremble sequences. We show that the existence of a maximally destabilizing sequence of trembles (destabilizing all outcomes but one) significantly simplifies studying strategically stable behavior in complex games such as finitely repeated games.
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