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新雇员工资的向下刚性

Downward Rigidity in the Wage for New Hires
American Economic Review · 2025 · Jonathon Hazell、Bledi Taska

中文摘要

工资刚性是解释失业波动的一个重要因素。在基准模型中,新雇员工资至关重要,但这方面的证据有限。我们使用空缺职位所发布的工资,结合职位和用人单位信息,来衡量新雇员工资。我们分两步表明,我们所衡量的新雇员工资具有向下刚性和向上灵活性。第一,职位层面的工资变动不频繁,下降尤其罕见。第二,工资对失业率上升没有反应,但对失业率下降反应强烈。职位信息对于识别向下刚性至关重要。

Abstract

Wage rigidity is an important explanation for unemployment fluctuations. In benchmark models wages for new hires are key, but there is limited evidence on this margin. We use wages posted on vacancies, with job and establishment information, to measure the wage for new hires. We show that our measure of the wage for new hires is rigid downward and flexible upward, in two steps. First, wages change infrequently at the job level, and fall especially rarely. Second, wages do not respond to rises in unemployment, but respond strongly to falls in unemployment. Job information is crucial for detecting downward rigidity. (JEL E24, E32, J23, J31, J63, M51)

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