理论论文

理论论文

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A mechanism for the efficient provision of Potential Pareto public goods

一种高效提供潜在帕累托公共品的机制

Journal of Public Economics · 2023, 225 · Eduardo Ferraz、César Mantilla ·

公共治理其它治理政策

提供一种会给所在社区带来局部损害的公共品会引发两个此前未被同时探讨的问题:设施选址何处,以及设施规模应为多大。我们提出一种机制,它将某些类似市场的属性与经过修正的第二价格拍卖相结合。该机制选定承载社区、设施规模、对承载项目的补偿,并确定补偿如何在非承载社区之间分配。若每个社区都如实竞标以成为承载社区——没有任何社区有动机偏离这一策略——则所选定的配置是全局最优的,即便各社区的偏好属于私人信息。与既有文献不同,承载社区支付次高报价,同时获得市场收益,以防止最优规模出现扭曲。

英文原文

Providing a public good that causes a local harm to its host poses two problems previously unexplored together: where to locate it and how large it should be. We propose a mechanism combining some market-like properties with a modified second-price auction. The mechanism selects a host, a facility size, a compensation for hosting the project, and determines how the compensation is split among the non-hosts. If each community bids truthfully for becoming the host–a strategy from which no community has incentives to deviate–the selected allocation is globally optimal, even if communities’ preferences are private information. In contrast with the literature, the host pays the second-highest bid while receiving the market benefits to prevent distortions in the optimal size.

Organizational design for making a difference

旨在产生影响的组织设计

Journal of Public Economics · 2023, 218 · Canice Prendergast ·

未归类D 微观经济学

我们研究依靠捐赠者的组织,此时捐赠者的动机是产生影响。我们表明,当捐赠者足够在意其边际影响时,企业会采用通常被视为低效率的做法。这些做法包括优先选择价值较低的机会而非更优的机会、在最薄弱的举措上投入最多,以及因不去甄别项目质量而获益。这些都源于捐赠者偏好所导致的边际回报与平均回报之间的区分。

英文原文

We address organizations that rely on donors, when those donors are motivated by making a difference. We show that when donors care sufficiently about their marginal impact, firms use practices that would normally be deemed inefficient. These include prioritizing less valuable opportunities over better ones, investing most in their weakest initiatives, and benefiting from not identifying the quality of their projects. These all arise from a distinction between marginal and average returns generated by donor preferences.

Memory and Probability

记忆与概率

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2023, 138(1) · Pedro Bordalo、John J. Conlon、Nicola Gennaioli、Spencer Yongwook Kwon、Andrei Shleifer ·

未归类D 微观经济学

在许多经济决策中,人们通过从记忆中提取经验来估计概率,例如风险发生的可能性,或某位求职者将成为高效率员工的可能性。我们基于选择性回忆的两条既有规律——相似性与干扰——对这一过程进行建模。我们表明,一个假设的相似性结构及其被描述的方式(而不仅仅是其客观概率)会影响经验的回忆,进而影响概率评估。该模型能够解释并调和多种实证发现,例如:低概率事件在被线索提示时被高估而未被提示时则被忽视、可得性启发式、代表性启发式、合取谬误与析取谬误,以及不同情境下对信息的过度反应与反应不足。该模型给出了若干新的预测,我们为这些预测找到了强有力的实验支持。

英文原文

In many economic decisions, people estimate probabilities, such as the likelihood that a risk materializes or that a job applicant will be a productive employee, by retrieving experiences from memory. We model this process based on two established regularities of selective recall: similarity and interference. We show that the similarity structure of a hypothesis and the way it is described (not just its objective probability) shape the recall of experiences and thus probability assessments. The model accounts for and reconciles a variety of empirical findings, such as overestimation of unlikely events when these are cued versus neglect of noncued ones, the availability heuristic, the representativeness heuristic, conjunction and disjunction fallacies, and over- versus underreaction to information in different situations. The model yields several new predictions, for which we find strong experimental support.