理论论文

理论论文

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Haircut, interest rate, and collateral quality in the tri-party repo market: Evidence and theory

三方回购市场中的折扣率、利率与抵押品质量:证据与理论

Review of Economic Dynamics · 2026, 61 · Sangyup Choi、Inkee Jang、Kee-Youn Kang、Hyunpyung Kim ·

公共治理货币与金融监管

利用韩国三方回购市场的交易层面数据,我们研究回购合约条款如何与抵押品质量相互作用。折扣率与利率均随抵押品风险上升,这与既有证据一致。然而,在给定抵押品质量的条件下,我们发现二者之间存在权衡关系:利差每上升1个百分点,折扣率相应下降1.3个百分点。在市场不确定性加剧时,同样幅度的利率上升所对应的折扣率降幅更小,这表明随着违约风险上升,针对违约的保险变得更有价值。我们证明,贷款人获取信息的激励与借款人机会主义违约风险之间的相互作用,既解释了折扣率与利率之间正的无条件关系,也解释了二者之间负的条件关系。

英文原文

Using transaction-level data from the Korean tri-party repo market, we study how repo contract terms interact with collateral quality. Both haircuts and interest rates rise with collateral risk, consistent with existing evidence. Conditional on collateral quality, however, we find a trade-off: a one-percentage-point increase in the spread is associated with a 1.3-percentage-point reduction in the haircut. The same increase in the interest rate is associated with a smaller reduction in the haircut under heightened market uncertainty, indicating that insurance against default becomes more valuable as default risk rises. We show that the interaction between lenders’ incentives to acquire information and borrowers’ opportunistic default risk explains both the positive unconditional relationship and the negative conditional relationship between haircuts and interest rates.

An irrelevance theorem for risk aversion and time-varying risk

风险厌恶与时变风险的一个无关性定理

Review of Economic Dynamics · 2026, 61 · Andrew Y. Chen、Francisco J. Palomino ·

未归类E 宏观与货币经济学

我们给出一个关于风险与风险态度在宏观经济模型中作用的定理,该定理澄清并拓展了Tallarini(2000)的分离结果。在(1)跨期偏好与风险偏好分离、(2)模型基本要素中一阶矩与高阶矩驱动因素分离、(3)约束近似线性的条件下,对于任何内生变量关于不驱动高阶矩变动的状态变量的弹性,风险厌恶与时变风险均无关。我们讨论了模型如何通过“打破”或“适应”该定理中的假设,使风险发挥更突出的作用。

英文原文

We provide a theorem on the role of risk and risk attitudes in macroeconomic models that clarifies and extends the Tallarini (2000) separation result. Under (1) separation of intertemporal and risk preferences, (2) separation of drivers of first and higher moments in the model primitives, and (3) approximate linearity of constraints, risk aversion and time-varying risk are irrelevant for the elasticity of any endogenous variable with respect to state variables that don’t drive variation in higher moments. We discuss how models generate a more prominent role for risk by “breaking” or “adapting” to the assumptions in the theorem.

Bargaining with renegotiation in models with on-the-job search

在职搜寻模型中带重新谈判的讨价还价

Review of Economic Dynamics · 2026, 61 · Axel Gottfries ·

未归类J 劳动与人口经济学

本文研究一个包含工资议价、随机在职搜寻与再谈判的模型。工资由一个议价过程决定,在该过程中企业与工人轮流提出报价,且该过程存在破裂的概率。在模型中,给定的工资合同以泊松速率终止,随后企业与工人就新工资进行议价。在此设定下,更高的工资会降低企业的加成,但这一效应会被离职率的下降部分抵消,而离职率下降会增加匹配剩余。匹配剩余的增加使工人能够获取更高份额的剩余。当再谈判更频繁时,更高工资对匹配剩余的正面效应会减弱。最终,当合同长度趋于零时,模型的均衡收敛于Pissarides (1994)所讨论的均衡支付。我的模型由此为在职搜寻模型中使用具有完全可转移价值的纳什议价解提供了依据。相反,当泊松速率趋于零时,模型的均衡(我证明其为唯一)收敛于Shimer (2006)所发现的其中一个均衡。

英文原文

This paper studies a model with wage bargaining, random on-the-job search and renegotiation. Wages are determined by a bargaining process in which the firm and the worker alternate in making offers and there is a probability that this process breaks down. In the model, a given wage contract ends at a Poisson rate, and then the firm and the worker bargain over a new wage. In this setting, a higher wage decreases the firm's markup, but this effect is partly offset by lowering turnover, which increases match surplus. This increase in match surplus enables the worker to capture a higher share of the surplus. This positive effect of a higher wage on match surplus diminishes when they renegotiate more frequently. Eventually, as the contract length tends to zero, the equilibrium of the model converges to the equilibrium payoffs discussed by Pissarides (1994). My model thereby justifies using the Nash bargaining solution with perfectly transferable values in models with on-the-job search. In contrast, when the Poisson rate goes to zero, the equilibrium in the model, which I show to be unique, converges to one of the equilibria found by Shimer (2006).