理论论文

理论论文

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Welfare of Competitive Price Discrimination with Captive Consumers

含锁定消费者的竞争性价格歧视的福利分析

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics · 2026, 18(3) · Yanlin Chen、Xianwen Shi、Jun Zhang ·

未归类L 产业组织

本文研究在同时存在锁定消费者与可争夺消费者的双寡头市场中价格歧视的福利效应。我们采用统一的信息设计方法,刻画了分别使生产者剩余、消费者剩余与社会剩余达到最优与最劣的市场分割。企业最优分割将市场划分为两个嵌套细分市场,相对于统一定价,它一致地降低了消费者福利。消费者最优分割将市场划分为一个对称细分市场和一个嵌套细分市场,有时可能带来帕累托改进,但并不必然与社会最优分割相一致。(JEL D43, D83)

英文原文

We study the welfare effects of price discrimination in a duopoly with both captive and contested consumers. Using a unified information design approach, we characterize the best and worst market segmentations for producer surplus, consumer surplus, and social surplus. The firm-optimal segmentation, which divides the market into two nested segments, consistently reduces consumer welfare relative to uniform pricing. The consumer-optimal segmentation, which divides the market into a symmetric segment and a nested segment, may sometimes yield a Pareto improvement but does not necessarily coincide with the social-optimal segmentation. (JEL D43, D83)

Exploiting Rivals' Strengths

利用竞争对手的优势

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics · 2026, 18(3) · Giacomo Calzolari、Vincenzo Denicolò ·

未归类L 产业组织

我们分析了寡头竞争情形,其中企业使用的合同以买方从竞争对手处购买的产品为条件。我们提出了一种新机制:主导企业通过使用这类合同,从利用竞争对手中获得的收益可以超过将其排除出市场所获得的收益。这种利用的实现方式是,要求买方将其总需求中至少一定比例从主导企业采购,但该比例低于100%。通过最优地设计这些合同,主导企业所能获得的收益,等同于其以零成本获取竞争对手特定技术与营销能力时的收益。(JEL D43, D82, D86, K21, L14, M31)

英文原文

We analyze oligopolistic competition in which firms use contracts contingent on what buyers purchase from their rivals. We present a new mechanism through which a dominant firm, by using these contracts, can gain more from exploiting its rivals than from foreclosing them. This exploitation is achieved by requiring buyers to source at least a certain share of their total requirements from the dominant firm, though less than 100 percent. By optimally designing these contracts, the dominant firm can earn as much as it would if it were to acquire the rivals' specific technological and marketing capabilities at no cost. (JEL D43, D82, D86, K21, L14, M31)

Algorithmic collusion and a folk theorem from learning with bounded rationality

算法合谋与有限理性学习中的民间定理

Games and Economic Behavior · 2026, 157 · Álvaro Cartea、Patrick Chang、José Penalva、Harrison Waldon ·

产业·创新·创业数字经济市场规制与反垄断

我们证明,当有限理性的参与者在重复势博弈中边玩边学习时,一个民间定理成立。我们使用有界 $m$-记忆策略下平滑虚拟博弈的动态推广,来刻画与算法学习相一致的有限理性学习。在具有完美监督的重复势博弈中,我们运用该学习模型证明:对任一可行的且个体理性的收益组合,若参与者拥有足够记忆、足够有耐心,并且以足够少的错误进行最优反应,则参与者有非零概率学到一个 $m$-记忆策略组合,该组合在适当的延续博弈中实现的平均收益接近于指定的收益组合。此外,所学到的策略组合是重复博弈的一个 $m$-记忆 $\epsilon$-子博弈完美均衡。这一发现表明,竞争主管机构对算法合谋的担忧是正确的。

英文原文

We prove a Folk theorem when players with bounded rationality learn as they play a repeated potential game. We use a dynamic generalization of smooth fictitious play with bounded $m$-memory strategies to model learning with bounded rationality that is consistent with learning by algorithms. In a repeated potential game with perfect monitoring, we use this learning model to show that for any feasible and individually rational payoff profile, if players have sufficient memory, are sufficiently patient, and best respond with sufficiently few mistakes, then the players have a non-zero probability of learning an $m$-memory strategy profile that achieves an average payoff close to the specified payoff profile for an appropriate continuation game. Moreover, the strategy profile learned is an $m$-memory $\epsilon$-subgame perfect equilibrium of the repeated game. This finding demonstrates that competition authorities are correct in their concern about algorithmic collusion.

Ultra-Fresh Fashion: Creating Demand with Freshness and Agility

超新鲜时尚:以新鲜度与敏捷性创造需求

Management Science · 2026, 72(4) · Li Chen、Hau Lee、Shiqing Yao ·

未归类M 企业·营销·会计

快时尚公司凭借敏捷的供应链,一直被视为各行业的最佳实践范例。既有研究聚焦于敏捷性如何赋予此类公司强大的"感知—响应"能力,以识别并满足不可预测的客户需求。敏捷性还有另一个强大的维度——频繁创造新产品的能力——正是它促成了 Shein 和 Temu 等公司近来的市场成功,一些行业媒体将这些公司称为"超快时尚"(ultra-fast fashion)。这些公司依托端到端数字技术,将这一敏捷性维度推向了前所未有的高度,以极高的频率和丰富多样的品类推出新产品。频繁的新品发布创造了新鲜感,激发了消费者的潜在需求,并使这些公司成为"超新鲜"(ultra-fresh)时尚——本文即采用这一术语。我们试图将这一敏捷性维度建模为一种用于创造需求的运营策略。通过该模型,我们可以从企业利润、消费者剩余和环境影响的视角考察其效应。我们的分析表明,频繁的新品发布、高多样性和低价格——超新鲜时尚的三大显著特征——既受产品设计敏捷性驱动,也受顾客对产品新鲜度的兴趣驱动。超新鲜策略能使企业利润稳步增长,并使消费者整体获益,但若不加约束,可能造成负面的环境影响。本文由 Jay Swaminathan(运营管理)接收。补充材料:在线附录与数据文件可在 https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2024.06249 获取。

英文原文

Using agile supply chains, fast fashion companies have been viewed as best practice examples in industries. Prior research focuses on how agility can equip such companies with strong sense-and-respond capabilities to identify and fulfill unpredictable customer demands. There is another powerful dimension of agility—the ability to create new products frequently—that has enabled recent market success of companies such as Shein and Temu, labeled by some industry press as ultra-fast fashion. These companies, relying on end-to-end digital technologies, have pushed this dimension of agility to unprecedentedly high levels, launching new products with great frequency and variety. The frequent product launches create freshness, stimulating latent demands of consumers and making these companies “ultra-fresh” fashion, a term we adopt in this paper. We seek to model this dimension of agility as an operational strategy for demand creation. Our model enables us to explore the effects through the lens of profit to the firm, consumer surplus, and environmental impact. Our analysis reveals that frequent product launches, high variety, and low prices—the three salient features of ultra-fresh fashion—are driven by both the product design agility and the customers’ interest for product freshness. The ultra-fresh strategy allows steady profit increase for the firm and benefits consumers in aggregate but may cause negative environmental impact if left unchecked. This paper was accepted by Jay Swaminathan, operations management. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2024.06249 .

数实融合与企业出口产品策略优化:基于柔性生产视角

世界经济 · 2024, 047(5) · 蒋为;倪诗程;彭淼 ·

产业·创新·创业贸易·开放产业政策数字经济贸易政策

本文构建了一个包含数字企业的多产品异质性企业模型,从柔性生产视角深入探索了数字企业赋能多产品企业出口产品策略优化的理论机制。我们采用2000-2016年中国微观企业层面的数据,构建模型检验了数字接近度对中国制造业企业出口产品策略的影响及其机制。研究结果表明:中国制造业企业与数字企业间接近度的提升不仅扩张了其出口产品范围,还显著提升了其出口偏度,在改善企业内资源配置的同时丰富了其出口产品范围,实现了中国企业出口产品策略在效率与多样性上的共同提升。此外,机制分析结果表明,数字接近度的柔性生产效应不仅直接提升了制造业企业的柔性生产能力,还间接提高了市场竞争程度,最终驱动制造业企业出口产品策略的优化。

英文原文

本文构建了一个包含数字企业的多产品异质性企业模型,从柔性生产视角深入探索了数字企业赋能多产品企业出口产品策略优化的理论机制。我们采用2000-2016年中国微观企业层面的数据,构建模型检验了数字接近度对中国制造业企业出口产品策略的影响及其机制。研究结果表明:中国制造业企业与数字企业间接近度的提升不仅扩张了其出口产品范围,还显著提升了其出口偏度,在改善企业内资源配置的同时丰富了其出口产品范围,实现了中国企业出口产品策略在效率与多样性上的共同提升。此外,机制分析结果表明,数字接近度的柔性生产效应不仅直接提升了制造业企业的柔性生产能力,还间接提高了市场竞争程度,最终驱动制造业企业出口产品策略的优化。

Multiproduct-Firm Oligopoly: An Aggregative Games Approach

多产品企业寡头垄断:一种加总博弈方法

Econometrica · 2018, 86(2) · Volker Nocke、Nicolas Schutz ·

产业·创新·创业市场规制与反垄断

我们发展了一种加总博弈方法,用以研究多产品企业间的寡头价格竞争。我们引入了一类新的IIA需求系统,该类需求系统由离散/连续选择推导而来,并将CES需求与logit需求嵌套其中。与之相关的多产品企业定价博弈具有加总性,企业的最优价格向量可由一个一维充分统计量——ι加成——加以概括。我们利用嵌套不动点论证证明了均衡的存在性,并给出了均衡唯一性的条件。在均衡中,企业可能选择不提供某些产品。我们分析了定价扭曲,并给出了单调比较静态结果。在(嵌套)CES与logit需求下,得到另一种加总性质:决定企业绩效与竞争影响的所有相关信息都包含在该企业的一维类型之中。我们将模型扩展至非线性定价、数量竞争、一般均衡以及具有嵌套结构的需求系统。最后,我们讨论了该模型在并购分析与国际贸易中的应用。

英文原文

We develop an aggregative games approach to study oligopolistic price competition with multiproduct firms. We introduce a new class of IIA demand systems, derived from discrete/continuous choice, and nesting CES and logit demands. The associated pricing game with multiproduct firms is aggregative and a firm's optimal price vector can be summarized by a uni-dimensional sufficient statistic, the ι-markup. We prove existence of equilibrium using a nested fixed-point argument, and provide conditions for equilibrium uniqueness. In equilibrium, firms may choose not to offer some products. We analyze the pricing distortions and provide monotone comparative statics. Under (nested) CES and logit demands, another aggregation property obtains: All relevant information for determining a firm's performance and competitive impact is contained in that firm's uni-dimensional type. We extend the model to nonlinear pricing, quantity competition, general equilibrium, and demand systems with a nest structure. Finally, we discuss applications to merger analysis and international trade.